Monday, February 16, 2009

Depression Watch (Fri. Feb.13 2009)

{Dow Close}
(Fri Feb.13) = 7,850.41 82.35 (-) ; the week's range [7850, 8271] ; the difference = 421
(Fri Feb.6) = 8,280.59 217.52 (+) ; the week's range [7937, 8281] ; the difference = 344
(Fri Jan.30) = 8,000.86 ; 148.15 (-) ; the week's range [8000, 8375] ; the difference = 375
(Fri Jan.23) = 8,077.56 45.24 (-)
(Fri Jan.16) = 8,281.22 68.73 (+)


{Range}

(4wks) = [8001, 8281]
(5wks) = [7850, 8281]

{Change Range}

(Feb.09-Feb.13) = [7, 382]
(Feb.02-Feb.06) = [64, 218]
(Jan.26-Jan.30) = [64, 226]

{FFC - Friday to Friday Change}
(Fri Feb13) = 430.18 (-)
(Fri Feb.6) = 279.73 (+)
(Fri Jan.30) = 76.7 (-)
(Fri Jan.23) = 203.66 (-)
(Fri Jan.16) = 317.96 (-)


(4 wks) = 318.59 (-)
(5 wks) = 748.77 (-)

Range (4 wks) = [77, 430] ; Difference = 353
Range (5 wks) = [77, 430] ; Difference = 353

{VIX}
(Fri Feb.13) = 42.93 ; the week's range [41, 47] ; the difference = 6
(Fri Feb.6) = 43.37 ; the week's range [43, 46] ; the difference = 3
(wk-avg Feb.13) = 44.41 ; 0.374 (-)
(wk-avg Feb.6) = 40.978 ; 3.620 (-)
(wk-avg Jan.30) = 43.014 ; 6.394 (-)
(wk-avg Jan.23) = 49.408 ; 2.336 (+)
(wk-avg Jan.16) = 47.072 ; 6.468 (+)


Range (4 wks) = [41, 49] ; Difference = 8
Range (5 wks) = [41, 49] ; Difference = 8

{Oil}
(Fri Feb.13) = $37.51 ; the week's range [34, 40] ; the difference = 6
(Fri Feb.6) = $40.17 ; the week's range [40, 41] ; the difference = 1
(Fri Jan.30) = $41.68 ; the week's range [42, 46] ; the difference = 4
(Fri Jan.23) = $46.47
(Fri Jan.16) = $36.51


Range (4 wks) = [36, 46] ; Difference = 10
Range (5 wks) = [36, 46] ; Difference = 10

{Dollar Index}

(Fri Feb.13) = 86.04 ; the week's range [85, 86] ; the difference = 1
(Fri Feb.6) = 85.29 ; the week's range [85, 86] ; the difference = 1
(Fri Jan.30) = 86.00

{Last Week}

The new approximate range, [8000, 8500] was the adherd to with a range of [7937, 8281] ~ [8000, 8300] which is within [8000, 8500]. The difference in range can then be approximated to be [300, 400] (rounding on the 100s), or [340, 380] (rounding on the 10s). When calculating range bounds, rounding is used to create a viable numerical container. For example, 5.2 is rounded down to 5 for both the lower and upper bound; 5.5 is rounded down (to 5) for the lower bound and up (to 6) for the upper bound.

{This Week}

A new approximate range has been set, [7900, 8300] . This after much of the week was spent at the [7900] low end of the range.

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